Our publications

ARIES background and theory

For a citation of the overall ARIES ecosystem services modeling methodology, please use: Villa, F., et al. 2014. A methodology for adaptable and robust ecosystem services assessment. PLOS ONE: 9(3):e91001 (full citation below).

Balbi, S., Bagstad, K.J., Magrach, A.,Sanz, M.J., Aguilar-Amuchastegui, N.,Giupponi, C., Villa, F. 2022. The global environmental agenda urgently needs a semantic web of knowledge. Environmental Evidence 11, 5, doi.org/10.1186/s13750-022-00258-y 

Capriolo A, Boschetto RG, Mascolo RA, Bulckaen A, Balbi S, Villla F (2022) How regulating and cultural services of ecosystems have changed over time in Italy. One Ecosystem 7: e83214. https://doi.org/10.3897/oneeco.7.e83214

Martínez-López, J., K.J. Bagstad, S. Balbi, A. Magrach, B. Voigt, I. Athanasiadis, M. Pascual, S. Willcock, and F. Villa. 2019. Towards globally customizable ecosystem service models. Science of the Total Environment 650(2):2325-2336. 

Marquez Torres, A., Signorello, G., Kumar, S., Adamo, G., Villa, F., and Balbi, S.: Fire risk modeling: an integrated and data-driven approach applied to Sicily, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2937–2959, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2937-2023, 2023.

Marquez Torres A, Balbi S, Villa F (2023) Scientific modelling can be accessible, interoperable and user friendly: A case study for pasture and livestock modelling in Spain. PLoS ONE 18(2): e0281348. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0281348

Villa, F., S. Balbi, I.N. Athanasiadis, and C. Caracciolo. 2017. Semantics for interoperability of distributed data and models: Foundations for better-connected information. F1000Research 6:686.

Barquin, J., L.E. Benda, F. Villa, L.E. Brown, N. Bonada, D.R. Vieites, T.J. Battin, J.D. Olden, S.J. Hughes, C. Gray, and G. Woodward. 2015. Coupling virtual watersheds with ecosystem services assessment: A 21st century platform to support river research and management. WIREs Water, doi:10.1002/wat2.1106.

Villa, F., K.J. Bagstad, B. Voigt, G.W. Johnson, I.N. Athanasiadis, and S. Balbi. 2014. The misconception of ecosystem disservices: How a catchy term may yield the wrong message for science and society. Ecosystem Services 10:52-53.

Villa, F., K.J. Bagstad, B. Voigt, G.W. Johnson, R. Portela, M. Honzak, and D. Batker. 2014. A methodology for adaptable and robust ecosystem services assessment. PLoS ONE 9(3):e91001.

Villa, F., B. Voigt, and J.D. Erickson. 2014. New perspectives in ecosystem services science as instruments to understand environmental securities. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 369(1639):20120286.

Athanasiadis, I. and F. Villa. 2013. A roadmap to domain specific programming languages for environmental modeling: key requirements and concepts. Proceedings of the 2013 ACM workshop on Domain-specific modeling. ASM: New York, ISBN: 978-1-4503-2600-1.

Bagstad, K.J., G.W. Johnson, B. Voigt, and F. Villa. 2013. Spatial dynamics of ecosystem service flows: A comprehensive approach to quantifying actual services. Ecosystem Services 4: 117-125.

Johnson, G.W., R.R. Snapp, F. Villa, and K.J. Bagstad. 2012. Modelling ecosystem service flows under uncertainty with stochastic SPAN. Pp. 1021-1028 in: R. Seppelt, A.A. Voinov, S. Lange, and D. Bankamp, eds., Proceedings of the 2012 International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software.

Johnson, G.W., K.J. Bagstad, R. Snapp, and F. Villa. 2012. Service Path Attribute Networks (SPANs): A network flow approach to ecosystem service assessment. International Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Information Systems 3 (2): 54-71.

Villa, F., K.J. Bagstad, G. Johnson, and B. Voigt. 2011. Scientific instruments for climate change adaptation: estimating and optimizing the efficiency of ecosystem services provision. Economía Agraria y Recursos Naturales 11 (1): 83-98.

Johnson, G., K.J. Bagstad, R.R. Snapp, and F. Villa. 2010. Service Path Attribute Networks (SPANs): Spatially quantifying the flow of ecosystem services from landscapes to people. Lecture Notes in Computer Science 6016: 238-253.

Mulligan, M. A. Guerry, K. Arkema, K. Bagstad and F. Villa. 2010. Capturing and quantifying the flow of ecosystem services. In: Silvestri S., Kershaw F., (eds.). Framing the flow: Innovative Approaches to Understand, Protect and Value Ecosystem Services Across Linked Habitats. UNEP World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambrdige, UK. ISBN 978-92-807-3065-4.

Villa, F., I. N. Athanasiadis, and A. E. Rizzoli. 2009. Modelling with knowledge: a review of emerging semantic approaches to environmental modelling. Environmental Modelling and Software 24:577-587.

ARIES case studies

Capriolo A, Boschetto RG, Mascolo RA, Bulckaen A, Balbi S, Villla F (2022) How regulating and cultural services of ecosystems have changed over time in Italy. One Ecosystem 7: e83214. https://doi.org/10.3897/oneeco.7.e83214

Capriolo, A., Boschetto, R.G., Mascolo, R.A., Balbi, S., Villa, F. 2020. Biophysical and economic assessment of four ecosystem services for natural capital accounting in Italy. Ecosystem Services 46:101207.

Oleson, K.L.L., Bagstad, K.J., Fezzi, C., Barnes, M.D., Donovan,  M.K., Falinski, K.A., Gorospe, K.D., Htun, H.,  Lecky, J., Villa, F., and Wong. T.M. 2020. Linking Land and Sea Through an Ecological-Economic Model of Coral Reef Recreation. Ecological Economics 177:106788.

Balbi, S., O. Selomane, N. Sitas, R. Blanchard, I. Kotzee, P. O’Farrell, and F. Villa. 2019. Human dependence on natural resources in rapidly urbanizing South African regions. Environmental Research Letters 14:044008.

Barbosa, A., B. Martin, V. Hermoso, J. Arevalo-Torres, J. Barbiere, J. Martinez-López, S. Domisch, S.D. Langhans, S. Balbi, F. Villa, G. Delacamara, H. Teixeira, A.J.A. Nogueira, A.I., Lillebo, Y. Gil-Jimenez, H. McDonald, and A. Iglesias-Campos. 2019. Cost-effective restoration and conservation planning in Green and Blue Infrastructure designs. A case study on the Intercontinental Biosphere Reserve of the Mediterranean: Andalusia (Spain)-Morocco. Science of the Total Environment 652:1463-1473.

Domisch, S., S.C. Jahnig, K. Kakouei, S.D. Langhans, J. Martínez-López, K.J. Bagstad, A. Magrach, S. Balbi, F. Villa, A. Funk, T. Hein, F. Pletterbauer, and V. Hermosa. 2019. Social equity shapes zone selection: Balancing aquatic biodiversity conservation and ecosystem services delivery in the trans-national Danube River Basin. Science of the Total Environment 656:797-807.

Funk, A., J. Martínez-López, F. Borgwardt, D. Trauner, K.J. Bagstad, S. Balbi, A. Magrach, F. Villa, and T. Hein. 2019. Identification of conservation and restoration priority areas in the Danube River based on multi-functionality of river-floodplain systems. Science of the Total Environment 654:763-777.

Kerebel, A., N. Gélinas, S. Déry, B. Voigt, and A. Munson. 2019. Landscape aesthetic modelling using Bayesian networks: Conceptual framework and participatory indicator weighting. Landscape and Urban Planning 185:258-171.

Willcock, S., J. Martínez-López, D.A.P. Hooftman, K.J. Bagstad, S. Balbi, A. Marzo, C. Prato, S. Sciandrello, G. Signorello, B. Voigt, F. Villa, J.M. Bullock, and I.N. Athanasiadis. 2018. Machine-learning for ecosystem services. Ecosystem Services 33:165-174.

Bagstad, K.J., D.J. Semmens, Z.H. Ancona, and B.C. Sherrouse. 2017. Evaluating alternative methods for biophysical and cultural ecosystem services hotspot mapping in natural resource planning. Landscape Ecology 32(1):77-97.

Bagstad, K.J., J. Reed, D. Semmens, B. Sherrouse, and A.R. Troy. 2016. Linking biophysical models and public preferences for ecosystem service assessments: A case study for the Southern Rocky Mountains. Regional Environmental Change 16(7):2005-2018.

Zank, B., K.J. Bagstad, B. Voigt, and F. Villa. 2016. Modeling the effects of urban expansion on natural capital stocks and ecosystem service flows: A case study for Puget Sound, Washington, USA. Landscape and Urban Planning 149:31-42.

Balbi, S., Villa, F., Mojtahed, V., Hegetschweiler, K.T. and Giupponi, C., 2016. A spatial Bayesian network model to assess the benefits of early warning for urban flood risk to people. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences16(6), pp.1323-1337.

Balbi, S., A. del Prado, P. Gallejones, C.P. Geevan, G. Pardo, E. Perez-Minana, R. Manrique, C. Hernandez-Santiago, and F. Villa. 2015. Modeling trade-offs among ecosystem services in agricultural production systems. Environmental Modelling and Software 72:314-326.

La Notte, A., S. Marongiu, M. Masiero, P. Molfetta, R. Molignoni, and L. Cesaro. 2015. Livestock and ecosystem services: An exploratory approach to assess agri-environmental climate payments of RDP in Trentino. Land 4(3):688-710.

Villa, F., R. Portela, L. Onofri, P.A.L.D. Nunes, and G. Lange. 2015. Assessing biophysical and economic dimensions of societal value: An example for water ecosystem services in Madagascar. Pp. 110-118 in: Water ecosystem services: A global perspective. J. Martin-Ortega, R.C. Ferrier, I.J. Gordon, and S. Khan, eds. Cambridge: Cambridge, UK.

Bagstad, K.J., D. Semmens, F. Villa, and G.W. Johnson. 2014. Quantifying and valuing ecosystem services: An application of ARIES to the San Pedro River Basin, USA. Pp. 169-192 in: Handbook on the Economics of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. P.A.L.D. Nunes, P. Kumar, and T. Dedeurwaerdere, eds. Edward Elgar: Cheltenham, UK.

Bagstad, K.J., F. Villa, D. Batker, J. Harrison-Cox, B. Voigt, and G. Johnson. 2014. From theoretical to actual ecosystem services: Accounting for beneficiaries and spatial flows to map and quantify ecosystem services. Ecology and Society 19(2):64.

Grȇt-Regamey, A., B. Weibel, K.J. Bagstad, M. Ferrari, D. Geneletti, H. Klug, U. Schirpke, and U. Tappeiner. 2014. On the effects of scale for ecosystem services mapping. PLoS ONE 9(12):e112601.

Bagstad, K.J., D.J. Semmens, and R. Winthrop. 2013. Comparing approaches to spatially explicit ecosystem service modeling: A case study from the San Pedro River, Arizona. Ecosystem Services 5: 40-50.

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